Tacuary 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 4 Feb 2024

Tacuary
1-1 HT 1-1
Sportivo Luqueno
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Paraguay - Profesyonel League – 2024

Tacuary vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tacuary v Sportivo Luqueno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacuary EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.19/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.41
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Tacuary vs Sportivo Luqueno Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacuary
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
10.09.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 3-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
31.05.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 3-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
27.03.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 2-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR

Tacuary 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacuary
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tacuary vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacuary and Sportivo Luqueno shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Luqueno at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tacuary had 38% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 62%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Tacuary and 1.75 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Tacuary vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Tacuary 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacuary vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tacuary 32%, draw 26%, Sportivo Luqueno 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →