Maritimo 3-1 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 Feb 2024

Maritimo
3-1 HT 1-1
Benfica II
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Maritimo vs Benfica II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maritimo v Benfica II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.12/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
+45% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.5 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Maritimo vs Benfica II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Benfica II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.85 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 387
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 0-1 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2

Maritimo 3-1 Benfica II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
3-1
AWAY Benfica II
2.00 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
279 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Maritimo vs Benfica II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Maritimo beat Benfica II 3-1 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 4 Feb 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maritimo had 51% of the ball to Benfica II's 49%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.00 to 1.29.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Benfica II?

Maritimo 3-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 37%, draw 29%, Benfica II 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maritimo) ✗ Under 2.5
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