Rwamagana City 1-2 Amagaju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No Pick
61%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rwamagana City The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Amagaju The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Rwamagana City vs Amagaju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amagaju nicked a narrow win over Rwamagana City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rwamagana City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rwamagana City vs Amagaju?

Rwamagana City 1-2 Amagaju in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rwamagana City vs Amagaju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rwamagana City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rwamagana City 45%, draw 31%, Amagaju 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rwamagana City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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