Sarıyer 3-4 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.34/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.71
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarıyer
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
23.09.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 3-1 HT 2-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarıyer
3-4
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sarıyer vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye squeezed past Sarıyer 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sarıyer at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sarıyer had 60% of the ball to Arnavutköy Belediye's 40%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Sarıyer vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Sarıyer 3-4 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarıyer vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarıyer win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sarıyer 50%, draw 23%, Arnavutköy Belediye 26%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sarıyer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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