Elazığspor 2-1 Turgutluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Turgutluspor EU Bookmakers 34%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/2.21
-22% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Turgutluspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor S3-2
10.10.2020 Elazığspor Elazığspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor S2-K
16.07.2008 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor GÖR
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Turgutluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor nicked a narrow win over Turgutluspor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Elazığspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Turgutluspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elazığspor and 1.33 for Turgutluspor.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Turgutluspor?

Elazığspor 2-1 Turgutluspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Turgutluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 40%, draw 26%, Turgutluspor 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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