04/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
La Fiorita vs Juvenes / Dogana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
71%
29%
Draw
18%
24%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Fiorita v Juvenes / Dogana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
La Fiorita
The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
Juvenes / Dogana
The Market 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
475 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
301 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
La Fiorita vs Juvenes / Dogana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
La Fiorita swept aside Juvenes / Dogana 4-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had La Fiorita as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of La Fiorita vs Juvenes / Dogana?
La Fiorita 4-0 Juvenes / Dogana in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Fiorita vs Juvenes / Dogana?
Before kick-off our model rated a La Fiorita win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split La Fiorita 48%, draw 29%, Juvenes / Dogana 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Fiorita), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (La Fiorita)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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