Ruvu Shooting 1-4 Mbeya Kwanza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
18%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Ruvu Shooting win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruvu Shooting The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbeya Kwanza The Market 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -75%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruvu Shooting
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mbeya Kwanza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.02.2022 Ruvu Shooting 1-1 Mbeya Kwanza Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Ruvu Shooting vs Mbeya Kwanza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbeya Kwanza cruised past Ruvu Shooting 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ruvu Shooting at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Ruvu Shooting vs Mbeya Kwanza?

Ruvu Shooting 1-4 Mbeya Kwanza in the Tanzanya - 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruvu Shooting vs Mbeya Kwanza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruvu Shooting win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ruvu Shooting 59%, draw 21%, Mbeya Kwanza 20%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruvu Shooting) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruvu Shooting) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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