04/02/2024
·
03:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Almopos Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
38%
Draw
28%
24%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Makedonikos Neapolis v Almopos — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Makedonikos Neapolis
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Almopos
EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-17% /
-17%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+150%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
281 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
354 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Almopos Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Makedonikos Neapolis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Almopos
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
07.04.2023
Makedonikos Neapolis
1-0
HT 0-0
Almopos
YUN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Almopos
YUN2
POST-MATCH
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Almopos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Makedonikos Neapolis and Almopos played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (38% / 38% / 24%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Makedonikos Neapolis vs Almopos?
Makedonikos Neapolis 0-0 Almopos in the Greece - Superlig 2 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Makedonikos Neapolis vs Almopos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Makedonikos Neapolis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Makedonikos Neapolis 38%, draw 38%, Almopos 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/24)
✓ Under 2.5
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