Sion 3-3 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
12%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.05
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.94
X/2
14%
5.58
X/X
10%
4.28
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.68
2/X
12%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.31/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.31
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
20.3 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.16 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
287 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Servette Servette 3-0 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
13.05.2023 Servette Servette 5-0 HT 3-0 Sion Sion İSV
08.04.2023 Sion Sion 2-2 HT 1-1 Servette Servette İSV
29.01.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
30.07.2022 Sion Sion 0-0 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
22.05.2022 Sion Sion 3-3 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
3-3
AWAY Servette
2.55 xG 2.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 8
338 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sion vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion and Servette shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sion had 56% of the ball to Servette's 44%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.55 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sion and 2.50 for Servette.

What was the final score of Sion vs Servette?

Sion 3-3 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated an Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sion 34%, draw 29%, Servette 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Servette), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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