Santiago Wanderers 1-0 Colo Colo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santiago Wanderers EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.11/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.38/1.04
-4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / -8%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
157 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
13.0 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santiago Wanderers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Colo Colo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.51 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 Passes 268
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2021 Colo Colo Colo Colo 3-0 HT 2-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİL
29.07.2021 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
06.01.2021 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 3-0 HT 2-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
29.08.2020 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-3 HT 1-1 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİL
27.01.2018 Colo Colo Colo Colo 3-0 HT 3-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİLİSK
15.10.2017 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-0 HT 0-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santiago Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Colo Colo
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
1 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santiago Wanderers vs Colo Colo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santiago Wanderers edged past Colo Colo 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Colo Colo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Santiago Wanderers had 33% of the ball to Colo Colo's 67%, shots finished 2-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colo Colo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santiago Wanderers and 2.33 for Colo Colo.

What was the final score of Santiago Wanderers vs Colo Colo?

Santiago Wanderers 1-0 Colo Colo in the Chile - Cup on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santiago Wanderers vs Colo Colo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Santiago Wanderers 26%, draw 24%, Colo Colo 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Colo Colo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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