Richards Bay 2-1 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.93
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.10/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.30
-41% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
25.7 Crosses 20.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.05 xG 0.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
317 Passes 401
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
14.01.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-2 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
09.08.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
2-1
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.47 xG 0.27
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
213 Passes 437
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay nicked a narrow win over Marumo Gallants 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Richards Bay made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richards Bay had 39% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 61%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Richards Bay's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Richards Bay had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Richards Bay and 0.00 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Marumo Gallants?

Richards Bay 2-1 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richards Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 40%, draw 30%, Marumo Gallants 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richards Bay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Richards Bay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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