Llaneros 2-0 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
Crosses 14.7
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
04.12.2021 Llaneros Llaneros 1-2 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOLB
12.09.2021 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llaneros
2-0
AWAY Union Magdalena
0.47 xG 0.36
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
502 Passes 241
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 7
10 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros got the better of Union Magdalena 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Llaneros as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Llaneros had 64% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 36%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.47 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Union Magdalena led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Llaneros and 1.50 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Union Magdalena?

Llaneros 2-0 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 41%, draw 33%, Union Magdalena 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llaneros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llaneros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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