Fgura 0-3 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.95
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
57%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.59
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
10%
+16.1pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.3pp
57%
Away Win
76%
-19.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-0.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fgura EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
190 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 571 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fgura
0-3
AWAY Birkirkara
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fgura vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara ran out comfortable winners over Fgura 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Fgura had 38% of the ball to Birkirkara's 62%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Fgura vs Birkirkara?

Fgura 0-3 Birkirkara in the Malta - FA Cup on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fgura vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fgura 26%, draw 18%, Birkirkara 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTAK More Malta - FA Cup
4 Feb 2025
20:00 Qala Saints vs Hibernians FC Analysis →