Al Masry 1-0 Wadi Degla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 25%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+106% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
426 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wadi Degla
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
355 Passes 281
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 2-2 HT 1-1 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
20.01.2021 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
30.10.2020 Al Masry Al Masry 2-1 HT 2-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
10.02.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
17.12.2015 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
20.01.2015 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
1-0
AWAY Wadi Degla
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Wadi Degla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry nicked a narrow win over Wadi Degla 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Masry had 54% of the ball to Wadi Degla's 46%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Masry and 1.33 for Wadi Degla.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Wadi Degla?

Al Masry 1-0 Wadi Degla in the Egypt - Cup on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Wadi Degla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 45%, draw 28%, Wadi Degla 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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