Şili U20 1-2 Arjantin U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.76
No
38%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.68
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
49%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.8
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.78 — our 49% vs market 47.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+9.0pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili U20 EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin U20 EU Bookmakers 62%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -75% / -75%
1.11/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.03
+7% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -67%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
166 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
13.0 Crosses 30.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arjantin U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.07.2007 Şili U20 Şili U20 0-3 HT 0-1 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 DK20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili U20
1-2
AWAY Arjantin U20
1.44 xG 0.92
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
164 Passes 482
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şili U20 vs Arjantin U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin U20 squeezed past Şili U20 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arjantin U20 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Şili U20 had 32% of the ball to Arjantin U20's 68%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.44 to 0.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Şili U20.

What was the final score of Şili U20 vs Arjantin U20?

Şili U20 1-2 Arjantin U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili U20 vs Arjantin U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arjantin U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Şili U20 23%, draw 27%, Arjantin U20 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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