Kocaelispor 3-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.67
1/2
8%
22.1
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.63
X/2
10%
5.97
X/X
12%
4.71
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2
22%
4.02
2/X
8%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
Crosses 32.0
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
07.02.2009 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
30.08.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-2 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
05.03.2005 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
03.10.2004 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
3-0
AWAY Sivasspor
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor swept aside Sivasspor 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Kocaelispor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 37% of the ball to Sivasspor's 63%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kocaelispor and 1.25 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Sivasspor?

Kocaelispor 3-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Cup on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 33%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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