Selangor FA 1-1 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCAKŞ, 4 Feb 2026

Selangor FA
1-1 HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
📅04/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
AFCAKŞ – 2025/2026

Selangor FA vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Selangor FA v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Selangor FA EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Selangor FA vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Selangor FA and BG Pathum United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Selangor FA at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Selangor FA vs BG Pathum United?

Selangor FA 1-1 BG Pathum United in the AFCAKŞ on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Selangor FA vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Selangor FA win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Selangor FA 43%, draw 23%, BG Pathum United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Selangor FA), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Selangor FA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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