Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 Gomora United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 4 Feb 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Gomora United
📅04/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
South Afrika - Cup – 2025/2026

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Gomora United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
87%
1.16
Draw
8%
7.13
Away
5%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.21
Over
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
3.13
No
64%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.13
2-3
42%
1.83
4-5
29%
2.89
6+
11%
8.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
62%
1/2
1%
1/X
2%
X/1
22%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
2%
2/X
1%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Mamelodi Sundowns v Gomora United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomora United The Market 8%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.48
0.58 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.89
Bad Attack Strength –
Great Defense Strength –
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
476 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 71%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14 Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards –

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 Gomora United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2 - 1
AWAY Gomora United
3.04 xG 0.24
79% Ball Possession 21%
27 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
603 Passes 125
90% Pass Accuracy 68%
49 Box Touches 6
35 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Mamelodi Sundowns vs Gomora United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mamelodi Sundowns nicked a narrow win over Gomora United 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 88%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 79% to 21% in Mamelodi Sundowns's favour, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 3.04 to 0.24 — on chances created, Mamelodi Sundowns won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Gomora United Result & Final Score

Mamelodi Sundowns 2 - 1 Gomora United in the South Afrika - Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Gomora United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 88%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 88%, draw 8%, Gomora United 5%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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