Osasuna 1-0 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 Mar 2024

Osasuna
1-0 HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.16
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.82
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
12%
6.17
X/X
14%
3.51
2/1
12%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.2
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osasuna v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.30/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.30
-11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
22.4 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.28 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 276
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
10.04.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
18.09.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
27.02.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
31.12.2020 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
24.06.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1

Osasuna 1-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Alaves 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Osasuna had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 45%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna and 0.17 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves?

Osasuna 1-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 42%, draw 30%, Deportivo Alaves 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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