Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Beitar Jerusalem — Team-Based Signals
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Beitar Jerusalem
İSREK
4-4
HT 3-1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
İSR
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem — Actual Match Statistics
Hapoel Beer Sheva squeezed past Beitar Jerusalem 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 39% of the ball to Beitar Jerusalem's 61%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.92 to 1.38 — on chances, Beitar Jerusalem could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Beer Sheva had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 2.00 for Beitar Jerusalem.
What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 55%, draw 23%, Beitar Jerusalem 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.