Union La Calera 1-3 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

Union La Calera
1-3 HT 0-1
Deportes Iquique
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Chile - Premier League – 2024

Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union La Calera v Deportes Iquique — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.38/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.59
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.5 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.23 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
296 Passes 291
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.01.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
24.09.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-3 HT 0-3 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
22.11.2019 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
11.05.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
26.08.2018 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
18.02.2018 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-1 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL

Union La Calera 1-3 Deportes Iquique — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
1-3
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.95 xG 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
260 Passes 439
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Iquique saw off Union La Calera 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Deportes Iquique made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 40% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 60%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.95 to 1.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union La Calera.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union La Calera and 0.50 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique?

Union La Calera 1-3 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 38%, draw 24%, Deportes Iquique 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ BTTS Yes
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