San Martin San Juan 3-2 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.45/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.12
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
19.06.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
11.10.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 3-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
17.06.2021 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
02.11.2019 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
07.12.2014 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 3-0 HT 2-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
03.10.2014 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
3-2
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan nicked a narrow win over Ferro Carril Oeste 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin San Juan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 49% of the ball to Ferro Carril Oeste's 51%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Martin San Juan and 0.67 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

San Martin San Juan 3-2 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 43%, draw 31%, Ferro Carril Oeste 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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