Al Thaid 0-3 Al-Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.6pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Taawon EU Bookmakers 39%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.23/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.45
-12% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al-Taawon
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2023 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
05.02.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-1 HT 0-0 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
25.09.2022 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
20.02.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-3 HT 1-0 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
05.11.2021 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Thaid
0-3
AWAY Al-Taawon
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Al-Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Taawon swept aside Al Thaid 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day Al-Taawon made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Thaid had 58% of the ball to Al-Taawon's 42%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Thaid and 1.20 for Al-Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Al-Taawon?

Al Thaid 0-3 Al-Taawon in the UAE - 1st Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Al-Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Thaid win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 36%, draw 35%, Al-Taawon 29%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Thaid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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