Sitra 1-0 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 33% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.3pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.16/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.02
-22% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 3-1 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
25.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
20.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-2 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
25.03.2021 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
1-0
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli Manama 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Sitra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sitra had 45% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 55%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sitra and 1.50 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama?

Sitra 1-0 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sitra 37%, draw 26%, Al Ahli Manama 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
4 Mar 2024
19:15 Khalidiya vs Muharraq Analysis →
19:15 Al Hala Muharraq vs Manama Analysis →