Sao Francisco 1-2 Humaita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Acreano, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
41%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
29%
-3.3pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Francisco The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Humaita The Market 45%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Francisco
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Humaita
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.06.2023 Humaita Humaita 0-1 HT 0-1 Sao Francisco Sao Francisco BRE4
20.04.2023 Sao Francisco Sao Francisco 1-3 HT 1-1 Humaita Humaita BRAC
POST-MATCH Sao Francisco vs Humaita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Humaita nicked a narrow win over Sao Francisco 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (26% / 34% / 40%) promised a tight game; Humaita found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sao Francisco and 1.50 for Humaita.

What was the final score of Sao Francisco vs Humaita?

Sao Francisco 1-2 Humaita in the Brazil - Acreano on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Francisco vs Humaita?

Before kick-off our model rated an Humaita win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sao Francisco 26%, draw 34%, Humaita 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Humaita) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Humaita) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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