USM El Harrach 1-1 RB Ouargla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.1pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.0pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Ouargla EU Bookmakers 8%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
3.31/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.78
+51% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
469 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM El Harrach
1-1
AWAY RB Ouargla
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs RB Ouargla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach and RB Ouargla shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. USM El Harrach carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM El Harrach had 70% of the ball to RB Ouargla's 30%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs RB Ouargla?

USM El Harrach 1-1 RB Ouargla in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs RB Ouargla?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 63%, draw 21%, RB Ouargla 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM El Harrach), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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