FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.8
X/1
17%
3.74
X/2
7%
12.25
X/X
9%
6.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.2
2/2
7%
9.22
2/X
6%
17.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.22/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.88
+42% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
457 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.9 Crosses 12.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
514 Passes 477
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
05.03.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
21.08.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 0-2 HT 0-2 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
21.11.2021 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
03.10.2021 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
29.05.2020 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
3-1
AWAY Silkeborg IF
2.83 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
627 Passes 537
92% Pass Accuracy 89%
44 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland got the better of Silkeborg IF 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 53% of the ball to Silkeborg IF's 47%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.83 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.83 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg IF?

FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - Süperlig on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 58%, draw 21%, Silkeborg IF 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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