04/03/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Shirak II vs Noah II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Noah II win — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
15%
Home Win
28%
27%
Draw
24%
58%
Away Win
48%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shirak II v Noah II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Shirak II
The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Noah II
The Market 52%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
310 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
337 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Shirak II vs Noah II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Noah II beat Shirak II 2-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Noah II as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Shirak II vs Noah II?
Shirak II 0-2 Noah II in the Armenia - 1st Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shirak II vs Noah II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Noah II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Shirak II 15%, draw 27%, Noah II 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Noah II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Noah II)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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