Rouen 1-0 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
10%
4.86
X/2
7%
6.43
X/X
18%
3.81
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
19%
4.91
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.24/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.16
-5% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sochaux
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.09.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-1 Rouen Rouen FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
1-0
AWAY Sochaux
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen edged past Sochaux 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Rouen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rouen had 40% of the ball to Sochaux's 60%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Sochaux?

Rouen 1-0 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rouen 35%, draw 33%, Sochaux 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rouen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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