Juventud Pinulteca 2-1 Deportivo Barberena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
38%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.5pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.2pp
38%
Away Win
25%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud Pinulteca The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Barberena The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud Pinulteca
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Barberena
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Juventud Pinulteca vs Deportivo Barberena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud Pinulteca edged past Deportivo Barberena 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 19% / 38% — and on the day Juventud Pinulteca made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Juventud Pinulteca had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Barberena's 44%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Juventud Pinulteca vs Deportivo Barberena?

Juventud Pinulteca 2-1 Deportivo Barberena in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud Pinulteca vs Deportivo Barberena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud Pinulteca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Juventud Pinulteca 43%, draw 19%, Deportivo Barberena 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud Pinulteca), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventud Pinulteca) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →