Rudes vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rudes v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
Rudes vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Rudes
HIR
0-2
HT 0-2
HNK Gorica
HIR
1-1
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica
HIR
3-1
HT 3-0
Rudes
HIR
0-1
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
2-0
HT 1-0
Rudes
HIR
Rudes 2-1 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
Rudes edged past HNK Gorica 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was HNK Gorica at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rudes had 47% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 53%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 1.50 to 1.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HNK Gorica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rudes and 2.00 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of Rudes vs HNK Gorica?
Rudes 2-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rudes vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rudes 26%, draw 28%, HNK Gorica 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.