Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.98/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.63
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY San Carlos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
27.08.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.04.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
10.02.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
15.08.2022 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
11.08.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
2-2
AWAY San Carlos
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa and San Carlos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 56% of the ball to San Carlos's 44%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.83 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos?

Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 47%, draw 27%, San Carlos 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
4 Mar 2024
03:00 Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines Analysis →