General Caballero JLM 3-2 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Stats & Model Review (Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 4 Mar 2024)

General Caballero JLM

3-2 HT 1-1

Sportivo Trinidense

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗

Paraguay - Profesyonel League – 2024

General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Trinidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

38%

1.92

Draw

28%

3.35

Away

34%

3.34

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54%

1.9

Over 2.5

46%

1.82

Both Teams to Score

Yes

51%

1.73

49%

1.99

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

29%

2-3 Goals

42%

4-5 Goals

19%

6+ Goals

10%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

15%

1/2

1/X

11%

X/1

15%

X/2

11%

X/X

10%

2/1

2/2

14%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

38%

Home Win

48%

-9.8pp

28%

Draw

26%

+1.7pp

34%

Away Win

26%

+8.1pp

54%

Under 2.5

49%

+5.0pp

46%

Over 2.5

51%

-5.0pp

51%

BTTS Yes

54%

-2.5pp

49%

BTTS No

46%

+2.5pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

General Caballero JLM v Sportivo Trinidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 52%

Head to Head

AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 30%

+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%

1.20/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.23

-23% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +9%

51% Ball Possession 49%

11 Total Shots 11

5 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 4

326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Trinidense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME General Caballero JLM

2W-0D-3L

AWAY Sportivo Trinidense

1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40

46% Ball Possession 54%

11 Total Shots 9

5 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 5

3 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

30.09.2023 Sportivo Trinidense

0-3 HT 0-1

General Caballero JLM PAR

16.07.2023 General Caballero JLM

2-0 HT 0-0

Sportivo Trinidense PAR

07.05.2023 Sportivo Trinidense

2-0 HT 1-0

General Caballero JLM PAR

26.02.2023 General Caballero JLM

1-4 HT 1-2

Sportivo Trinidense PAR

31.07.2021 Sportivo Trinidense

1-0 HT 1-0

General Caballero JLM PAR2

General Caballero JLM 3-2 Sportivo Trinidense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME General Caballero JLM

3-2

AWAY Sportivo Trinidense

49% Ball Possession 51%

9 Total Shots 14

6 Shots on Target 4

4 Corners 7

1 Yellow Cards 4

POST-MATCH General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Trinidense

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

General Caballero JLM nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Trinidense 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; General Caballero JLM found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, General Caballero JLM had 49% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for General Caballero JLM and 1.40 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Trinidense?

General Caballero JLM 3-2 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a General Caballero JLM win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split General Caballero JLM 38%, draw 28%, Sportivo Trinidense 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (General Caballero JLM), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (General Caballero JLM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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