Wisla Pulawy 1-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 4 Mar 2024

Wisla Pulawy
1-1 HT 1-0
Kalisz
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Wisla Pulawy vs Kalisz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.46
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.45
6+ Goals
15%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wisla Pulawy v Kalisz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.36/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.18
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Wisla Pulawy vs Kalisz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Pulawy
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kalisz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
29.04.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
24.09.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 3-1 HT 1-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
14.03.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-3 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
28.08.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
18.07.2015 Kalisz Kalisz 1-4 HT 1-3 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POLK

Wisla Pulawy 1-1 Kalisz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Pulawy
1-1
AWAY Kalisz
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wisla Pulawy vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Pulawy and Kalisz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Wisla Pulawy had 46% of the ball to Kalisz's 54%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wisla Pulawy and 1.50 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Wisla Pulawy vs Kalisz?

Wisla Pulawy 1-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Pulawy vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Pulawy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wisla Pulawy 40%, draw 24%, Kalisz 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wisla Pulawy), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Pulawy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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