Radomiak Radom 2-1 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Mar 2024

Radomiak Radom
2-1 HT 1-0
Stal Mielec
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.78
6+ Goals
11%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
18%
4.0
X/2
9%
7.96
X/X
13%
4.02
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
12%
6.77
2/X
8%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radomiak Radom v Stal Mielec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.73/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.43
-20% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
24.6 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stal Mielec
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
353 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-0 HT 2-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
05.02.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
25.07.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
20.03.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
25.09.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.06.2020 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-0 HT 2-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1

Radomiak Radom 2-1 Stal Mielec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
2-1
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.72 xG 0.24
37% Ball Possession 63%
23 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
212 Passes 397
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom squeezed past Stal Mielec 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radomiak Radom as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 37% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 63%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 1.72 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Radomiak Radom's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.17 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec?

Radomiak Radom 2-1 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 46%, draw 26%, Stal Mielec 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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