Famalicao 1-1 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

Famalicao
1-1 HT 1-0
Boavista
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Famalicao vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.05
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
13%
4.42
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
16%
3.83
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
16%
5.49
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Famalicao v Boavista — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.29/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.36
-12% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
20.3 Crosses 14.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Famalicao vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Boavista
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
19.03.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-2 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
02.10.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 4-0 HT 2-0 Boavista Boavista POR
02.04.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 1-2 HT 0-2 Boavista Boavista POR
06.11.2021 Boavista Boavista 2-5 HT 1-3 Famalicao Famalicao POR
05.11.2021 Boavista Boavista 2-5 HT 1-3 Famalicao Famalicao POR

Famalicao 1-1 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
1-1
AWAY Boavista
0.71 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
319 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao and Boavista couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Famalicao had 50% of the ball to Boavista's 50%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.71 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Famalicao and 1.50 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Boavista?

Famalicao 1-1 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 39%, draw 28%, Boavista 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Famalicao), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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