Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2024

Universitatea Craiova
1-1 HT 1-0
Rapid Bucarest
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universitatea Craiova v Rapid Bucarest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
2.60/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.52
+23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
260 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
310 Passes 284
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
22.05.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-3 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
16.04.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
12.11.2022 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-2 HT 1-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
31.07.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
22.01.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM

Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Rapid Bucarest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-1
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova and Rapid Bucarest couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 54% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.33 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest?

Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 44%, draw 26%, Rapid Bucarest 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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