Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.26
X/2
11%
6.8
X/X
16%
4.11
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
11%
5.57
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.54/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.06
-6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.7 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.32 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
288 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.59 xG 0.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
294 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği and Şanlıurfaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gençlerbirliği at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 51% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 49%, shots finished 6-4, expected goals 0.59 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 46%, draw 28%, Şanlıurfaspor 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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