Rampla Juniors 0-3 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
60%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 69%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.11/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.74
+44% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
209 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rampla Juniors
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CA Penarol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
19.09.2019 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 1-2 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
04.05.2015 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
02.11.2014 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-3 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rampla Juniors
0-3
AWAY CA Penarol
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rampla Juniors vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol cruised past Rampla Juniors 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Rampla Juniors had 31% of the ball to CA Penarol's 69%, shots finished 4-25.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rampla Juniors and 2.00 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Rampla Juniors vs CA Penarol?

Rampla Juniors 0-3 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rampla Juniors vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rampla Juniors 19%, draw 22%, CA Penarol 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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