Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.14/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.42
-21% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.9 Crosses 16.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.78 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
296 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.02.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 3-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3-1
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
2.05 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
296 Passes 253
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello beat Rayo Zuliano 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Academia Puerto Cabello as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 53% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 47%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.50 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano?

Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 48%, draw 27%, Rayo Zuliano 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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