Cardiff City U21 1-2 Millwall U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.9pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.84/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/2.46
-56% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
244 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Millwall U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
07.02.2025 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
18.12.2023 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 5-1 HT 2-1 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Millwall U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall U21 squeezed past Cardiff City U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Millwall U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Millwall U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cardiff City U21 and 3.50 for Millwall U21.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Millwall U21?

Cardiff City U21 1-2 Millwall U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Millwall U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 36%, draw 18%, Millwall U21 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millwall U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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