Al Karma 2-0 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

Al Karma
2-0 HT 0-0
Newroz
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Karma vs Newroz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
39%
-11.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+9.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Karma v Newroz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.22/0.71
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma beat Newroz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Newroz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Newroz?

Al Karma 2-0 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 28%, draw 31%, Newroz 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Newroz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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