Arjantin (K) 0-1 Kolombiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — SheBelieves Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.6
Over 2.5
56%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
59%
-15.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
41%
+15.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.6pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin (K)
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
200 Passes 271
61% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2025 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) AKUK
12.11.2019 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) HAZ
10.08.2019 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) PANAMK
16.04.2018 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) AKUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin (K)
0-1
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
0.73 xG 1.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
395 Passes 403
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arjantin (K) vs Kolombiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya (K) nicked a narrow win over Arjantin (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kolombiya (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arjantin (K) had 50% of the ball to Kolombiya (K)'s 50%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.73 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arjantin (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arjantin (K) and 1.00 for Kolombiya (K).

What was the final score of Arjantin (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Arjantin (K) 0-1 Kolombiya (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolombiya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arjantin (K) 23%, draw 26%, Kolombiya (K) 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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