Graficar 1-1 Macva Sabac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
2.03
No
41%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.0pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
45%
+13.9pp
41%
BTTS No
55%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Graficar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Macva Sabac EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Graficar
1-1
AWAY Macva Sabac
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Graficar vs Macva Sabac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Graficar and Macva Sabac shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Graficar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Graficar had 61% of the ball to Macva Sabac's 39%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Graficar vs Macva Sabac?

Graficar 1-1 Macva Sabac in the Serbia - Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Graficar vs Macva Sabac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Graficar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Graficar 46%, draw 22%, Macva Sabac 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Graficar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Graficar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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