Chennaiyin FC 2-1 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 4 Apr 2024

Chennaiyin FC
2-1 HT 0-1
Jamshedpur
📅04/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Chennaiyin FC vs Jamshedpur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chennaiyin FC v Jamshedpur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.68/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
-30% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.5 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Chennaiyin FC vs Jamshedpur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
239 Passes 222
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-2 HT 1-2 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
07.01.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-2 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
19.11.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
20.02.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-4 HT 0-3 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
02.01.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-1 HT 0-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
10.02.2021 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL

Chennaiyin FC 2-1 Jamshedpur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
2-1
AWAY Jamshedpur
0.72 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
195 Passes 309
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC edged past Jamshedpur 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chennaiyin FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 42% of the ball to Jamshedpur's 58%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 0.72 to 1.38 — on chances, Jamshedpur could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 1.67 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Jamshedpur?

Chennaiyin FC 2-1 Jamshedpur in the India - Super League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 43%, draw 26%, Jamshedpur 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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