Universitatea Craiova 0-1 Otelul Galati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Cup, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 24%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
0.93/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-62% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / +81%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
400 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Otelul Galati
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-3 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
24.07.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
04.04.2015 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
15.09.2014 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
05.05.2011 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 2-1 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
05.11.2010 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-1 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
0-1
AWAY Otelul Galati
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otelul Galati edged past Universitatea Craiova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 56% of the ball to Otelul Galati's 44%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 0.67 for Otelul Galati.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati?

Universitatea Craiova 0-1 Otelul Galati in the Romania - Cup on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 50%, draw 23%, Otelul Galati 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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