Napredak Krusevac 3-0 Javor Ivanjica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Javor Ivanjica EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.51/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.43
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.5 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
284 Passes 199
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 0-2 HT 0-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
11.11.2022 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.07.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-4 HT 0-1 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
12.02.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-1 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
05.08.2020 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 3-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
3-0
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
0.86 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 240
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Javor Ivanjica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac cruised past Javor Ivanjica 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Napredak Krusevac found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 57% of the ball to Javor Ivanjica's 43%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.86 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Javor Ivanjica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 2.00 for Javor Ivanjica.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Javor Ivanjica?

Napredak Krusevac 3-0 Javor Ivanjica in the Serbia - Super League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Javor Ivanjica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 40%, draw 28%, Javor Ivanjica 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napredak Krusevac), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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