Polessya 0-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.10.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-3 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava squeezed past Polessya 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Vorskla Poltava made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava?

Polessya 0-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Cup on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Polessya 32%, draw 28%, Vorskla Poltava 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vorskla Poltava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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