Zorya Luhansk 0-3 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 69%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.62/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.10
+72% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
18.03.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
03.09.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-2 HT 2-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
12.12.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
08.08.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-2 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
13.05.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKRK
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev swept aside Zorya Luhansk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 1.33 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kiev?

Zorya Luhansk 0-3 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 21%, draw 26%, Dynamo Kiev 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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