Nacka Iliria 3-1 IFK Österaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Österaker EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
3.37/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/2.17
+47% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs IFK Österaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacka Iliria beat IFK Österaker 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacka Iliria as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs IFK Österaker?

Nacka Iliria 3-1 IFK Österaker in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs IFK Österaker?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 55%, draw 24%, IFK Österaker 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacka Iliria), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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